Key takeaways:
Bitcoin’s price increased by sixfold each time its age increased by 40%.
If the pattern holds, Bitcoin could rally to $351,046 in 2025.
New data highlights a historical pattern that results in Bitcoin (BTC) price increasing by sixfold. Using a logarithmic chart to illustrate the trend from 2011, the model projects BTC price to hit $351,046 in 2025.
According to 21st Capital co-founder Sina, the study plots Bitcoin’s price on a log-log graph, showing a linear relationship that reflects predictable long-term growth driven by network dynamics, a behavior characteristic associated with BTC’s limited supply.
Bitcoin 40% age increase-price rise comparison chart. Source: X.com
The math behind the price target relies on Bitcoin’s age in years and a 6x price multiplier per 40% age increase. For instance, from age 8.83 years in 2017 ($19,666 peak) to age 12.83 years in 2021 ($68,000 peak), the age grew by 45%, but the price increased by about 3.4x, showing deviations from the model.
Adjusting for the chart’s trendline, the projected price at age 16.33 years is $351,046 in 2025, a 5.2x increase from $68,000 in 2021. This power law suggests Bitcoin’s growth scales with its network maturity, not calendar cycles.
Most of the time, the 6x peak in value came before a 40% increase in BTC’s age. The table below reflects actual Bitcoin prices and the model’s projections, highlighting inconsistencies.
Bitcoin estimated vs actual price based on the model. Source: Cointelegraph/Investopedia
The irregularities are evident. It underestimated early growth until 2017 and overestimated recent years (In 2023, $42,258 versus $139,968). External factors possibly disrupted BTC’s rise, such as the 2021 crash (BTC price fell 30% to $31,000 amid a crypto sell-off), China’s 2021 crypto ban, and rising interest rates in 2022, which aligned Bitcoin with risk-on assets.
However, the model demonstrates resilience despite regulatory uncertainty, market volatility, and macroeconomic pressures over the past decade, capturing Bitcoin’s long-term uptrend via a non-linear graph.
Related: Bitcoin price still in bargain zone as US jobs report sparks rate cut hopes
Bitcoin price fractal highlights $84K support
Anonymous Bitcoin analyst blackwidow noted a fractal pattern comparing the 2024 support at $58,000 to the current 2025 setup, pinpointing $84,000 as a pivotal support level, mirroring last year’s structure.
In an X post, the analyst revealed that the $84,000 level, identified as the point of control (POC) where the heaviest trading volume occurred, is a key re-entry point for traders eager to capitalize on the anticipated breakout. If the support holds, the analyst predicted an accelerated move into the summer, potentially marking a significant long-term opportunity.
Bitcoin fractal analysis by blackwidow. Source: X.com
Likewise, crypto trader Titan of Crypto mentioned that the new highs for Bitcoin are loading in the charts. The analyst said,
“Bitcoin $125,000 target loading. BTC bounced off the orange line of the Golden Ratio Multiplier and is now aiming for the blue line, currently at $125,000.”
This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.
